silence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate@slrpnk.netEnglish · 14 days agoCritical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought | Scientists say finding is ‘very concerning’ as collapse would be catastrophic for Europe, Africa and the Americaswww.theguardian.comexternal-linkmessage-square15linkfedilinkarrow-up1105arrow-down10file-text
arrow-up1105arrow-down1external-linkCritical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought | Scientists say finding is ‘very concerning’ as collapse would be catastrophic for Europe, Africa and the Americaswww.theguardian.comsilence7@slrpnk.netM to Climate@slrpnk.netEnglish · 14 days agomessage-square15linkfedilinkfile-text
minus-squaregrue@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up35·14 days agoEvery few years there’s a headline like this. … Not because people are dredging up old news, but because the collapse estimate keeps getting revised to be sooner.
minus-squaresilence7@slrpnk.netOPMlinkfedilinkarrow-up13·14 days agoNot sooner so much as more likely. We’re into the 40% to 50% range now
minus-squaregrue@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up13·14 days agoIt’s kinda the same thing. The curve of probability over time is shifting closer to the present (faster than we approach it through the normal passage of time).
minus-squarebenjirenji@slrpnk.netlinkfedilinkarrow-up1·13 days agoAnd the model gets refined making the predictions more accurate and reliable.
Every few years there’s a headline like this.
…
Not because people are dredging up old news, but because the collapse estimate keeps getting revised to be sooner.
Not sooner so much as more likely. We’re into the 40% to 50% range now
It’s kinda the same thing. The curve of probability over time is shifting closer to the present (faster than we approach it through the normal passage of time).
And the model gets refined making the predictions more accurate and reliable.