Real world measurements of how much extra heat the Earth is trapping are well beyond most climate models. That’s a real problem.

cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/23918980

In the mid-2000s, the energy imbalance was about 0.6 watts per square metre (W/m2) on average. In recent years, the average was about 1.3 W/m2. **This means the rate at which energy is accumulating near the planet’s surface has doubled. **

FAaFO , we’re in the find out phase.

  • asg101@lemmy.blahaj.zoneEnglish
    12·
    15 hours ago

    The models were deliberately not measuring/predicting ALL the factors they knew were involved. Back in 1998 I asked a Scripps Institute of Oceanography speaker why the models were ignoring the methane/permafrost feedback loop and was told “we decided to focus on other things”… so yeah, inaccurate models give inaccurate predictions. Get used to hearing “it is all happening faster than we expected” from now until we are incinerated.