Real world measurements of how much extra heat the Earth is trapping are well beyond most climate models. That’s a real problem.

cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/23918980

In the mid-2000s, the energy imbalance was about 0.6 watts per square metre (W/m2) on average. In recent years, the average was about 1.3 W/m2. **This means the rate at which energy is accumulating near the planet’s surface has doubled. **

FAaFO , we’re in the find out phase.

  • mojofrododojo@lemmy.worldEnglish
    2·
    5 hours ago

    the cooling is short term. the heating effects will last centuries.

    I think you’re over invested on this narrative. I have more confidence in NOAA, NASA etc.

    • Jim East@slrpnk.netEnglish
      2·
      4 hours ago

      the cooling is short term.

      Yes. Exactly. The aerosols have a cooling effect that is fast-acting but short-lasting. Carbon dioxide has a warming effect that is slow-acting but long-lasting. In the long term, the warming effect prevails, but on an annual basis, the cooling effect dominates. We no longer have centuries to address climate change, so considering what the effect of any mitigation strategy will be in the short term is crucial.